International Business News

Positioning high-end of Germany and its strong presence in emerging markets, causing a record growth, should protect Europe's largest economy from the impact of an economic slowdown in the U.S. or its neighbors in the euro area.

During the last two decades, German companies are well established in the markets of emerging Asia and Latin America, particularly in infrastructure which these economies need to grow.Germany and last year signed a cooperation agreement with Brazil to develop the infrastructure needed to organize the World Cup soccer in 2014 and the Olympics in 2016.

Controlling the production of capital equipment up-end the German strategy was used. Indeed, the demand for these products is very strong, and machinery and commercial vehicles alone representing nearly 50% of German exports.

"We are well represented in many markets that are now very important, but which were not specifically before.We are better represented than others, "says Volker Treier, chief economist of the Chamber of Commerce and Industry (DIHK).

This good exposure to growth markets is reflected by good orders to German companies, even as mature economies like the United States, struggling to recover.

Orders in the German manufacturing sector have increased by 3.2% on month in June, after a strong second quarter showing a growth of 2.2% over the first three months of the year, the strongest growth since the reunification in 1990.

Businesses benefit directly from this favorable environment.Of the 30 groups listed on the DAX index, 23 of them have published results above market expectations in the second quarter, and 12 have raised their forecasts.

EXPORT DEPENDENCE

But the economic profile of Germany, focusing on exports, has its downside.Last year, at the height of the recession, German exports have dropped sharply, causing an economic contraction of 4.7%, higher than the average contraction across the euro area – 4.1%.

"The sensitivity to exports has struck the German economy in 2008 and 2009, and now she supports a remarkable growth," explains Niels Thygesen, professor of economics at the University of Copenhagen.

During the recession, foreign groups often had no access to funds for the purchase of German equipment, explains Volket Treier. "Often, the financial structure does not follow.(…) Now, repeat orders. "

These include small and medium businesses, often family, the famous Mittelstand, which form the backbone of the German economy.

SUPPORT HOUSEHOLD AND CONSTRUCTION

Another key factor in recovery: households.German consumers, known for their sense of savings, have supported the growth in the second quarter after starting the year marked by sluggish consumption.

The construction sector also contributed to the improved economic situation of the country, bouncing over the period April to June after a particularly harsh winter, which had greatly affected the industry.

Economists expect growth in the German economy at least 3% in 2010, prompting the country's trade unions to demand a high wage growth, after agreeing to tighten its belt during the greater part of the decade elapsed.

Such a decision would certainly erode the competitiveness of Germany, but without affecting the economy significantly.

The powerful IG Metall union calls for a wage increase of 6% to 85,000 steelworkers, a claim well above the inflation rate of 1% of Germany.

The U.S. stocks closed lower Tuesday, penalized by the publication of statistics of home resales already been added to fears surrounding the health of perennials the world's biggest economy.

The Dow Jones closed with a loss of 133.96 points, or 1.32%, to 10,040.45. The Standard & Poor's 500 broad, fell 15.49 points, or 1.45%, to 1051.87 while the Nasdaq Composite Index ended down 35.87 points (-1.66%) to 2123 76.All three indexes have ended at levels unprecedented in seven weeks.

Sales of existing homes in the United States in July suffered an unprecedented fall that brings them back to their lowest level in more than 15 years, a deteriorating just confirmed that the U.S. recovery loses much of its momentum.

Shortly before the publication of these statistics, Charles Evans, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, said that the risk of a relapse into recession in the U.S. economy had increased in the last six months even if such an outcome is unlikely in his eyes, a recovery "modest" is being said.

Home resales fell 27.2% last month compared to June to 3.83 million units annualized, the lowest level since May 1995, announced the National Association of Realtors (NAR) The American Federation of Estate Agents. Economists polled by Reuters were expecting a much less pronounced decline from 12.0% to 4.7 million.

This statistic has led to a decline in property values.The PHLX Housing Index was down by 1.05%.

"The economic statistics of the day were added to a long list of evidence showing that there is a slowdown in the economy," said Michael Sheldon of RDM Financial.

"Investors were expecting a mediocre statistics, but today's figures have revealed the extent of the disaster."

These events have however not been taken on renewed vigor of the activity on the front of mergers and acquisitions.

Hewlett-Packard and Dell continued to struggle to capture the data storage specialist 3PAR.According to Bloomberg, Dell is preparing to improve its offer after Monday HP has $ 1.6 billion on the table.

3PAR has closed up 3.64% to 27.04 dollars while HP has lost 1.65% to 38.39 dollars and Dell fell 2.97% to 11.58 dollars.

The medical equipment maker Medtronic has also plunged 10.80% to 31.21 dollars after reporting a drop in sales and lowered its forecast.

The announcement weighed on the sector and the Health Sector Index S & P lost 2.03%.

The president and CEO of Hewlett-Packard Co., Mark Hurd resigned Friday after being accused of falsifying expense reports to conceal a "close personal relationship" with a woman working for a subcontractor.

The announcement was made during the dip the world's largest maker of personal computers by 10%, Mark Hurd is credited with having brought HP to the highest level in five years at the helm of the U.S. group.

Mark Hurd will be replaced by Chief Financial Officer Cathie Lesjak who is acting as interim executive director.A committee was responsible for appointing a new CEO.

A colleague outside the group, who had worked on the marketing of HP between late 2007 and fall 2009, contacted the Board in June and accused of sexual harassment Mark Hurd, the group said.

An investigation ensued and concluded that Hurd had not breached the code within the company for sexual harassment.

But the CEO of 53 years, married, kept "a close personal relationship" with the woman without the knowledge of the board of directors, said HP.

"The investigation board has concluded that Mark had demonstrated a profound lack of discernment that has seriously damaged his credibility and was highly prejudicial to his ability to lead HP, and Mark agreed," said Mike Holston, director of corporate legal department.

The departure of the CEO was unanimous, he added.

The group says Hurd submitted "number of expense reports inaccurate" to conceal the relationship with the offending subcontractor, which has itself received compensation and refunds without a legitimate reason.

The sum of her falsified expense would reach 20,000 dollars for travel, accommodation and meals shared with the woman according to a source close to the Hurd's statements on the case, who spoke of a "working relationship".

Another source with knowledge of the case made it clear that this woman was not a major subcontractor.

ANTICIPATED RESULTS

Mark Hurd, known for its rigor in cost reduction, said in a statement that the decision to resign was "painful".

"I realized that on some occasions I have not met the standards and principles of trust, respect and integrity that I adopted at HP," he said.

The shock is brutal for investors, who saw Mark Hurd as the chief of the success of the Informatics Group.Since his arrival at the helm of the group five years ago, the stock price has more than doubled.

"Mark Hurd has a large responsibility in the revival of the group," said analyst Jeffrey Fidacaro.

"His departure will leave a big void at the head of the group."

The now former CEO of HP scored his mark, combining the rigor of external growth strategy, which took shape with major acquisitions as the pioneer of the smartphone or Palm, in 2008, EDS Corp., a leading software houses U.S. 13.9 billion.

Analysts said the place of Mark Hurd will be coveted both externally as internally, where the manager's PC division Todd Bradley and chief strategy Shane Robinson figure are potential candidates.

Hurd's departure, they added, should not affect either the strategic direction of the company or its performance.

The announcement was however immediately reflected on the price of HP has lost up to 10% in after-hours transactions, dropping to 41.50 dollars after the meeting ended at 46.30 dollars.

To cushion the shock, the group decided to bring forward the publication of its quarterly results.

He announced on Friday earnings per share to $ 1.08 in non-GAAP standards for the third fiscal quarter offbeat performance slightly higher than that anticipated in the consensus among analysts polled by Thomson Reuters I / B / E / S consensus forecast of $ 1.07.

The company raised its earnings per share over the year to a range of 4.49 to 4.51 against $ 4.45 to 4.50 dollars previously. The consensus is at 4.49 dollars.

HP also said it expects an annual turnover of between 125.3 and 125.5 billion dollars, while analysts are predicting a figure lower than this range to 124.515 billion dollars.

Major European stock markets finished higher Wednesday for the first time in over a week, boosted by banks and U.S. companies quarterly results.

The Paris Bourse closed up 0.75% to 3493.92 points.

While the results of their strength tests will be published Friday, banking stocks were among the most requested on Wednesday.The Stoxx index of European banking core values thus gained 1.01%.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel said that resistance tests conducted with European banks to help restore confidence in the financial sector.

The maker of Durex condoms and Scholl sandals SSL International has jumped from his side of 33.45% after the announcement of its takeover by the British household products and health Reckitt Benckiser for 2.5 billion pounds ( 2.97 billion euros).

Negotiations on the reform of financial supervision has failed Wednesday and European agreement on the text has been postponed until September, show several European sources.

"There will be no further talks before late August or early September and I think we can say that the talks failed," a parliamentary source said.

"The core issue is Article 6 which concerns the principle of direct supervision exercised at European level by the new supervisors," the source said adding that the objective was to find a consensus with the all states, including Great Britain.

A second source confirmed the report and discussions held that "one or two additional steps the council (of EU ministers) in the direction of the European Parliament would be required to obtain an agreement."

Home sales in Spain rose for the fifth consecutive month in May, according to data released Monday by the Institute of Statistics, a sign of market stabilization.

Housing sales rose 11.9% in May on a year to reach 37,787 units. In one month, the increase is 10.1%.

The Spanish housing market, which had been boosted by lower borrowing rates over the past decade, has collapsed since the start of the financial crisis, affecting the full brunt of the Spanish economy.

At the height of the housing boom, more than 80,000 homes were sold every month.After the bubble burst, this figure fell to touch a low of 29,178 in April 2009.

Despite the recent rebound, the experts polled by Reuters believe that prices will continue to decline in 2010 and during much of 2011.

The Bank of Korea raised its key interest rate Friday for the first time since the beginning of the financial crisis and reinforced expectations of a further tightening of monetary policy by predicting strong growth and rising inflation .

The Bank of Korea increased by 25 basis points rate previously set at record low of 2.0%, falling into step with its regional counterparts in Australia, India, Taiwan and Malaysia.

Investors were expecting such an initiative for several weeks in light of the growing confidence shown by the authorities regarding the ability of the fourth largest economy in Asia to consolidate its recovery, despite lingering uncertainties in Europe and the United States.

Most analysts polled by Reuters had forecast, however, on a rate hike in August or September.

The won has increased its earnings to grow by over 1.0% on the session against the dollar.The stock market is, they, remained virtually unchanged.

"Governments in Asia seem relatively confident about the economic outlook despite concerns about the potential impact of euro weakness and the short-term downturn in growth by the rapid pace set earlier this year "said Brian Jackson, a specialist emerging markets at Royal Bank of Canada.

"We expect the Bank of Korea will further increase interest rates by 50 basis points by the end of the year, the risks are increasingly tilted to the upside," he adds.

For a chart on the interest rate and inflation trends: here

PROGRESSIVE CURE

The Governor of the Bank of Korea Kim Choong-soo told reporters that the economy had probably increased more than 7% over the same period last year in the second quarter and throughout the first half.

He also said that inflation should reach 3.0% next year, in the middle of the range the central bank's target of between 2.0 and 4.0%, which analysts said could conduct Bank of Korea to bring its rate of 3.0% by the end of this year.

He also reported a sharp rise in housing loans in June after a period of sluggish growth.

"There is no doubt that the basic rate of 2.0% was very low in view of various factors such as economic growth and inflation outlook," the governor said.

Kim Choong-soo was upbeat on global growth while highlighting the budgetary problems in Europe that it deems the main risk, adding that further turmoil in financial markets were possible.

The tightening of monetary policy the central bank should be gradual as the institution has ensured that its policy would remain accommodative.

"As the policy rate is still very low and the pace of tightening is very gradual, it is still support for the economy and the market impact will not be negative," said Lee Sung Kwon, an economist at Shinhan Investment Corporation.

This is the first increase in interest rates in South Korea since August 2008 and their first change since the beginning of last year.

Agricultural Bank of China (AGBANK), China's third largest bank, has priced its initial public offering dual Hong Kong and Shanghai, which should enable it to raise more than $ 22 billion (17.5 billion euros ) hypothesized high, bigger bet on the market ever.

The first trading day will be held July 15 in Shanghai and Hong Kong the next day. The official announcement of the award is scheduled for Wednesday.

AGBANK, founded by Mao Zedong in 1951, operates a large network of branches in the Chinese countryside and in larger cities.

Three years ago, AGBANK was technically bankrupt.His recovery, after a rescue of 30 billion dollars, has been boosted by the strong growth experienced in the country and the state control over the banking sector.

In Hong Kong, AGBANK sold 25.4 billion shares, representing 8% of its enlarged capital, at a price of 3.20 Hong Kong dollars part, totaling 10.4 billion U.S. dollars, it was reported Tuesday source close to the matter.

The bank had tightened Monday its price range, between 3.18 and 3.38 dollars per share in Hong Kong, against an initial range of 2.88 to 3.48 dollars.

In Shanghai, the price was fixed at the top of its indicative range which started at 2.52 yuan.AGBANK will sell 22.24 billion of yuan-denominated A shares at a price of 2.68 yuan coin, or 59.6 billion yuan (8.8 billion dollars).

In total, AGBANK rise $ 19.3 billion through its dual listing and even 22.2 billion dollars if the over-allotment option is exercised, an event likely in view of the application.

Previously, the largest ever IPO was that of Industrial & Commercial Bank of China with 21.9 billion in 2006.

OFFER 20 times oversubscribed

China International Capital Corp (CICC), Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Macquarie and Morgan Stanley are the banks organizing the operation in Hong Kong, with the brokerage firm of AGBANK.

For placing on the market in Shanghai, banks are CICC, CITIC Securities, Guotai Junan Securities and Galaxy.

AGBANK is quoting on the stock market to allow the government to achieve its objective, namely to have the four largest banks in the country publicly traded.

Having for many of them had periods of insolvency, it are now among the largest banks – and companies – in terms of market capitalization.

A source familiar with the matter, it indicates that the offer of AGBANK in Shanghai was 20 times oversubscribed by institutional investors.

In Hong Kong, the institutional demand came from Asia to 4%, 30% U.S. 25% Europe thee, according to sources involved.

Individuals have however shown little enthusiasm in Shanghai, like Hong Kong.

The IPO allotment option included, values AGBANK about 150 billion dollars (nearly 120 billion euros), making it the fourth largest bank in terms of global market capitalization behind ICBC, China Construction Bank and HSBC .

Chaired by Xiang Junbo, headline writer and war hero, AGBANK operates 24,000 branches, employs 441,000 people and boasts 320 million customers.

The price for AGBANK bodes well for the four Chinese banks wishing to raise capital as is the case for Bank of China and ICBC.

The Shanghai stock market has lost nearly 25% since mid-April and fell sharply last week, partly because investors sold shares to participate in the offer AGBANK.

More than six in ten French (63%) feel negatively action of Nicolas Sarkozy since 2007 on social policy, against 34% positive, according to a CSA poll published Cap Friday, June 4 by the Journalists Association of social information (AJIS) and DomPlus. When they think about the action of the President of the Republic since 2007 in social policy, 29% of the French as "very negative" and 34% "fairly negative", while 3% are "very positive" and 31 % "fairly positive". They have been 3% did not comment.

Read about our investigation: Why Sarkozy's policy is so unpopular

When asked specifically about various fields is in terms of purchasing power that the French seem most critical: More than three quarters (76%) perceive the action of the Head of State as "rather negative", only 18% consider it "somewhat positive".For a majority of French, is also rather negative opinion on the fight against unemployment (68% against 27%), the fight against poverty (69% against 26%), the incentive to work harder (60% cons 36%), dialogue between management and unions (57% against 30%, 13% did not). Concerning the effectiveness of the minimum service in transport during strikes, the action is seen as "rather negative" to 48%, against 40% (12% did not).

About the pension reform, only unions inspire "somewhat confident" a majority of French people (54% against 42% who have "not much confidence"), according to the poll. In contrast, over two thirds (67%) were "not much confidence" in the patronage of the reform, against 26% experiencing more confidence.At 64%, the French have not much confidence in Nicolas Sarkozy to reform, against 32% who tend to trust.

The leftist opposition also inspires rather not trust a majority of French, but to a lesser extent (55% against 38%). Of the decisions taken by the President to deal with the crisis, 49% of French people consider them bad, against 47%. Nearly one in two French (49%) said the French company less united than three years ago, while 37% say "neither more nor less" and 11% supportive.

The survey of the CSA institute and Cap for Ajisai DomPlus and was conducted by telephone 19 and May 20 from a nationally representative sample of 1,000 persons aged 18 years or older, constituted under the quota method.

Contrary to the myth of the victory of 1998, a course team of France in World Cup-2010 has little chance of boosting consumption and cheer to the French morose for months, analysts said.

"Given the past, there is little chance that there is an impact on the morale of the French," explains Benoit Heitz, chief of the division at INSEE cyclical synthesis. While in 1998, "there was an improvement in consumer confidence in July, when the victory of France, but the improvement trend existed before. At best, it would have amplified the trend already existing" he continues, noting that these good results were anyway mostly related to the fact that the competition was held in France.

But this year the World Cup takes place in South Africa and French morale was already at half mast.This indicator summarizes the views of households on the economic situation and declining steadily since the beginning of the year and has dropped 8 points since January. And the chances of a reversal through the course of the France team is minimal.

"Only a victory in the final could possibly have an exhilarating effect, otherwise it will be marginal," said Alexander Law, chief economist at Global Xerfi. "If we win, it will have a positive impact on consumer confidence, but it is only on their morale.And only if we win, if we lose the first round or even the final, "added Nicolas Bouzou, an analyst at Aster.

Impact on sales of TVs

Whether this improvement would last, "it depends much more on attitudes to austerity plan that results in World Cup," says he, in all cases ensuring that the course would have the Blues no impact on consumption. "At the macro level, it has no impact," he insists.

"Often they say that the victories of 1998 and 2000 have generated growth but this is not the case, growth was already there, also notes Marc Touati, director of Global Equities. "The victory is the icing on the cake.The route of the France team can only be the icing on the cake, and if it does not cake …", continues the analyst.

The World should certainly have an impact on sales of televisions, which France won or not. The GfK account and an increase of 200,000 to 250,000 pieces by this event that will invigorate even more a market already in great shape (8.7 million sales in 2010). Good results could also French "boost sales of textiles, with the Blues jerseys, notes Alexander Law. "But not to be extremely high, especially since the team of France does not enjoy a good symbol of love," he tempers.

An early elimination should not have any effect on consumer sentiment. "The team has qualified in pain, his popularity rating has rarely been so low, so people just say + they knew they were unable +.Unfortunately, the French economy has disadvantages much heavier than the poor performance of its sports teams, "said Alexander Law. Failure" could generate a movement of depression, but temporary, "said Marc Touati of his side.