International Business News

Weakened by the crisis, the French capital again to make headlines in the business press but professionals are questioning the sustainability of a recovery that dare not speak its name.

The uncertainties in the sector are also the prospect of entry into force of new rules that regulators want to impose the financial sector, whether the standards of solvency of banks and insurance and new tax regimes on capital gains and bonuses of investment funds.

The Forum's capital organized by Reuters of 8 to 10 September in Paris will provide an update on the new standards and expectations of the profession after the excesses of the years 2004-2007 and the bursting of the credit bubble.

According to data compiled by Thomson Reuters over the period from January 1 to September 7, the activity of private equity in France, measured by value is more than six times lower than it was in 2006, a report close to that observed globally.

The nascent recovery is still tangible: the activity is about 60% higher than it was in 2009.

"There is still a little early to give a real trend for the end of the year, although there is still a 'stock' of deals that can be done," said Vincent Ponsonnaille, a lawyer specializing in capital at Linklaters.

"Especially on small and mid-cap activity there," says his side OSSMANN Remy, vice president of the consulting firm LEK in France.

Selling Frozen Picard, the largest operation in France since the bankruptcy of U.S. investment bank Lehman Brothers, however, showed that the billion euros was more impenetrable.

VIRTUOUS CIRCLE

But uncertainty over the economic environment and financial markets remain a brake, particularly in terms of IPOs (IPO).

"If the IPO market reopens for sizes and valuations fairly consistent, it is a bit of a virtuous circle for a variety of companies that are still in the portfolios," said Catherine Vincent, Chief Executive within the activity of investment bank Goldman Sachs in Paris.

Analysts said the IPO provided the chain of casinos Lucien Barriere will be a test.

But conversely, the withdrawal of the sale of fast food chain Quick or the retirement homes Medi-Partners also show that investors remain cautious.

"There is a fairly long list of transactions that have no takers, either for reasons of size or profile, for reasons of funding or pending award," notes Céline Méchain, director in charge of relationship with the investment fund at Goldman Sachs.

The continued funding of operations, moreover, remains uncertain because if the banks agreed to finance numerous records at the end of the first semester, they must organize now, that is to say, find investors interested in debt.

This process has also been launched on Monday by the banks in charge of LBO mounted for the redemption of Picard Frozen by Lion Capital.

"We can not consider access to the debt as an asset for the moment," he told Reuters late August Monique Cohen, managing partner of private equity group Apax.

NEW WAVE

The banks also require different ways to structure transactions so as to regain control faster business purchased by the funds in case of restructuring.

Because the crisis has shown the procedure to safeguard French was rather favorable to shareholders and creditors trying to turn faster debt capital.

The news of the capital since the outbreak of the crisis has been marked by restructuring banks that were very expensive to fund and precipitated the departure of certain officers.

In France, corporate restructuring or OMS Monier were characterized by such deadweight losses for the PAI, Sagard and Cognetas.

"We had a first wave of restructuring.By 2011, there could be a second for companies whose underlying economic activity is not to go and who only see their problem of excessive leverage, "says Catherine Vincent.

"2012 will be the first year where we will face a wall of refinancing," explained her side Céline Méchain.

"We'll see how some funds are recovering from their previous failures, particularly in the fundraising going and coming but for now there are many more records in 2009 rollover," said Olivier Tordjman, a lawyer with Ayache Salama.

"And if subjects remain restructuring, there is less risk of 'dead'," he says.

U.S. stocks finish higher again Friday, the publication of positive indicators for the economy continuing with the monthly figures of employment considered reassuring.

The Dow Jones gained 127.83 points or 1.24% to 10,447.93 points, while the Standard & Poor's 500 took 14.41 points or 1.32% at 1104.51 points.

The Nasdaq Composite was awarded 33.74 points or 1.53% at 2233.75 points.

For the week, the Dow gained 2.9%, the S & P 3.8% and Nasdaq 3.7%.

The S & P index fund managers, has realized its best weekly performance of the past eight weeks.He did not rebound above 1,100 points since Aug. 11.

For the Dow Jones and Nasdaq, it is their best week in the last six.

Equity markets had fallen sharply in August, investors fearing a recession in the fallout world's largest economy.However, information released Wednesday, showing stronger growth than expected in the manufacturing sector in August, sparked a rebound in stock market values to post their biggest gain in eight weeks.

New indicators, including real estate, went in the same direction Thursday and the rebound continued Friday with the announcement of monthly figures of employment.

THE FINANCIAL SOUGHT

The U.S. economy still has destroyed jobs in August for the third consecutive month, but significantly less than expected.In addition, the private sector has created more jobs than expected.

In this context, the announcement of a greater than expected slowdown in growth of activity in the services sector in the United States in August has left investors of marble.

"Equity markets were considered non-negligible probability of a relapse there is now an output of this fear factor," said Mike Dueker, at Russell Investments.

"The recovery will be slow but at least we can count on. This should provide a wind stern values for the remainder of the year."

Sensitive sectors such as business cycle and financial technology have been particularly sought after. The S & P financials gained 2.15%.Goldman Sachs was awarded 5.4% to 147.29 dollars.

Home Depot, the world of DIY and interior design, has gained 1.5% to 29.85 dollars, boosting her up yesterday.

Take-Two Interactive soared 7.34% to 9.50 dollars after the publication of a quarterly profit – investors awaited a loss – and raising expectations of the group.

Campbell Soup has however declined by almost 3% to 36.21 dollars, investors punishing quarterly sales below expectations and a revision of objectives.

Accor announced Thursday an increase in its target operating profit in 2010 and has unveiled a new debt reduction target.

The fourth global hotel group, a rival giants InterContinental, Marriott and Hilton and Starwood, will report an operating profit of between 370 and 390 million euros this year, sharply up from 236 million recorded in 2009.

Accor, which has reported interim results up, also plans to reduce its adjusted net debt of 600 to 650 million euros in 2010.So far, the company had forecast a decline in its debt of 450 million over the year.

The group had announced in May a program of disposals of hotel assets for an amount of two billion euros over the period 2010-2013.

In the first six months of 2010, gross operating Accor rose 17.4% (13% on a comparable basis) to 833 million euros, showing the gross margin to 29.2%.

The operating profit marked a growth of 120% (109.3% on a comparable basis) to 154 million euros while sales in accordance with what was announced July 21 the company is progressing 4.7% on a comparable basis to 2.84 billion.

Accor publishes its first results since the demerger of its business prepaid, Edenred, July 2.

Accor announced Monday the sale of 48 hotels in Europe for 367 million euros. This decision follows the announcement in early July, the sale to Newrest 60% of its business catering on trains of the Compagnie des Wagons-Lits (CWL).

Accor is also preparing to separate from its 49% stake in the casino group Lucien Barriere.

The Paris Bourse rebounded on Monday tentatively early trade, after closing Friday at its lowest in about a month and while several indicators of activity in Europe in August are expected.

Around 9:15 am, the CAC 40 rose 0.27% to 3535.80 points.

STMicroelectronics is the head increases and takes 1.43%, followed by France Telecom gained 1.27%. Brussels will dismiss the complaint of the operator and its competitors SFR and Bouygues Telecom against the state in the allocation of the fourth 3G license to Free, The Tribune wrote Monday.

Carrefour lost 0.28%. S & P cut its rating to "sell-off.

Ahead of London and Frankfurt 0.18% 0.12%.As for the European indices, the EuroStoxx 50 wins and 0.16% Eurofirst 300 rose 0.3%.

The euro has halted its decline against the dollar after losing more than a penny Friday and is trading around 1.2711.

U.S. light crude oil remains below $ 74 after rising briefly crossed. The barrel is trading at around 73.85 dollars.

The vagaries of the economic recovery and the prospect of new banking regulations temper the optimism of investors after quarterly results exceeded expectations published this week by several major European banks.

Reversals of impairment greater than expected second quarter have offset the slowdown in investment banking, penalized by the threats of contagion of the crisis of the Greek sovereign debt investors who scalded.

Societe Generale has reported a profit of nearly one and half times higher than expected, and Standard Chartered, which operates mainly in Asia, has released a record result.

Lloyds has returned to the green to the first half thanks to a halving of asset impairments.

However, European banks have not divested of their caution, particularly when faced with the consequences of coming prudential reforms.Although the deadlines for application of solvency ratios so-called "Basel III have been repulsed, concerns remain about them.

"There is fragility in the global economy and nervousness in financial markets," said John Peace, Chairman of StanChart, adding that British banks were particularly disadvantaged by the rules on pay, taxation and financial regulation.

Most European banks which have published their results on Wednesday have followed the trend shown Monday by BNP Paribas and HSBC with a lower level of bad debts.

However, even if SocGen gained 0.6% at the Paris Stock Exchange in the afternoon, StanChart lost 6.3% to the London Stock Exchange.

The quarterly results and the prudence of banks are an excuse for profit taking while the lure investors to the sector had been increased by the publication, July 23, heartening results of resistance tests suffered by banks in the European Union.

The European banking stocks index yielded 1.2% on Wednesday afternoon, after having won over 20% since early July against 10% for pan-European Stoxx 600 index – and nearly 9% since the release of stress tests .

"The results show that emerging markets like China, India and Brazil are areas where we can go to generate meaningful activities," said Ted Huang, a fund manager Pinebridge Asia High Yield in the results of StanChart.

Against the trend, the German Postbank increased its provisions for impairment related to risky real estate loans and has revised downwards its objectives.

Allied Irish Banks The Irish, partly nationalized, has also reported a doubling of losses in the first half while making clear progress towards its recapitalization.

These two facilities join the Italian UniCredit, the first credit agency in Central and Eastern Europe, which was published on Tuesday a quarterly profit well below consensus, hit by a dramatic drop in trading revenue.

PSA Peugeot Citroen, after a first half marked by continued strong sales, think back to a positive operating profit this year despite the difficult months ahead in Europe.

The second European car maker said Wednesday it expected 2010 profit from recurring operations of about 1.5 billion euros after a loss of 689 million in 2009 due wholly to the crisis that hit the area the first half of last year.

"The economic environment has had a significant positive impact in the first half (…) Clearly, this will be less favorable economic environment and will have a negative impact in the second half," warned Philippe Varin, CEO of PSA during a press conference.

PSA Action opened up 1.3% at 25.20 euros on the Paris Bourse, before turning around. At 10:10, the title abandoned 3.32% to 24.05 euros.

"The results are solid and forecasts may reassure, but we wonder if the stock market will not suffer in the second half of the relapse of volumes expected in the automotive business in Europe," wrote analysts at Barclays Capital in a Note."We remain very cautious on the outlook for next 18 months."

PSA has resumed on the first six months of the year with profit from operations, stood at 1.137 million euros after a loss of 826 million a year earlier, with a net profit of 680 million against a loss of 962 million a year earlier.

The first half was also supported by the performance plan unveiled by the group last fall.This plan, which includes cost reductions and income gains, has contributed 854 million euros in operating profit.

Philippe Varin has not ruled out that the goal of contributing 1.1 billion euros to the result of the plan is passed this year.

FOCUS ON INTERNATIONAL

The group's turnover rose by 20.8% to 28.39 billion in the first half, still supported by subsidies still in force and by the success of several new models like the Peugeot 3008 and the crossover sedan DS3 Citroen, which allow PSA to increase its market share in Europe to 14.5% against 13.7% a year earlier.

Registrations of new cars by the first French sales rose 5.5% in the first six months of the year but fell 5.6% on the month of June with the shortness of the effect "scrappage".This was further reduced to 1 July, 500 euros against 700 euros in the first half and 1,000 euros for the whole of 2009.

The loss of aid will be added to the fact that the second half is usually less active than the first for the automotive sector sales, and that the surge in demand in late 2009 with the bonus of 1,000 euros a comparison very unfavorable product from one year to another.

Despite this, the division should be close to self-balance for the second part of the year.

SAP anticipates a decline of 7% of car market in Europe in 2010, slightly less than what he foresaw far.He put forward the emerging countries to find new sources of growth, as China is now its second largest market after France and that it provides a double-digit growth in 2010, and as Latin America where it sees growth significant figure.

To expand its presence in the Chinese market, the group relies on its new joint venture with Chang'An second PSA JV in China, which it expects to receive regulatory approval in early 2011.

The manufacturer hopes to make half of its vehicle sales in markets outside Europe by 2015, against 34% in 2009. The 508 is as such a symbol of the internationalization of PSA.New large sedan planned for 2011, it will be produced in Rennes (Ille-et-Vilaine), but also in China six months later. For the first time, a model for European motorists since its conception has incorporated expectations of Chinese customers.

Schlumberger, a global oilfield services company, reported Friday in an increase in line with expectations, 33% of its quarterly earnings, strong growth of its land in North America offset the effects of the moratorium on drilling offshore in the Gulf of Mexico.

Net income from continuing operations of U.S. group stood at 818 million dollars (632 million euros) over the second quarter, or $ 0.68 per share, against 613 million ($ 0.51 per share) last year.

Turnover rose 7.4% to 5.94 billion dollars.

Analysts on average had forecast earnings per share of $ 0.68 and revenues of 5.915 billion.

In exchange for pre-market action Schlumberger, who finished at 61.30 Thursday, yielded more than 2%.

The moratorium on offshore drilling in the Gulf of Mexico was decided after the explosion and sinking of the platform Deepwater Horizon, operated by BP, which left 11 dead and is causing the worst oil spill from the history of the United States.

But Schlumberger is less affected than, for example, Halliburton, by stopping the activity in the Gulf of Mexico, this region represents only 5% of its turnover.

HSBC Holdings announced the acquisition of the retail banking and commercial banking at Royal Bank of Scotland in India, the British bank nationalized virtually continuing its withdrawal from foreign markets.

HSBC announced it would pay a premium of up to $ 95 million (75.8 million) compared to the net asset activity during the closing of the transaction, expected to first half of next year.

The price could be reduced in cases of increased bad debt during the next two years.

Sources had previously said qu'HSBC redeem these activities, which have 1.1 million customers, more than 1,800 employees and 31 divisions in India.The gross value of these assets were worth $ 1.8 billion at end March.

Currently, HSBC has about two million customers and 50 divisions in 29 Indian cities.

RBS, owned 83% by the British government, seeks to refocus on its core business and sold off in recent weeks some of his small business.

The group puts an end to a decade of international development, raising over 2.5 billion dollars by withdrawing more than twenty activities over the past 14 months.