International Business News

Weakened by the crisis, the French capital again to make headlines in the business press but professionals are questioning the sustainability of a recovery that dare not speak its name.

The uncertainties in the sector are also the prospect of entry into force of new rules that regulators want to impose the financial sector, whether the standards of solvency of banks and insurance and new tax regimes on capital gains and bonuses of investment funds.

The Forum's capital organized by Reuters of 8 to 10 September in Paris will provide an update on the new standards and expectations of the profession after the excesses of the years 2004-2007 and the bursting of the credit bubble.

According to data compiled by Thomson Reuters over the period from January 1 to September 7, the activity of private equity in France, measured by value is more than six times lower than it was in 2006, a report close to that observed globally.

The nascent recovery is still tangible: the activity is about 60% higher than it was in 2009.

"There is still a little early to give a real trend for the end of the year, although there is still a 'stock' of deals that can be done," said Vincent Ponsonnaille, a lawyer specializing in capital at Linklaters.

"Especially on small and mid-cap activity there," says his side OSSMANN Remy, vice president of the consulting firm LEK in France.

Selling Frozen Picard, the largest operation in France since the bankruptcy of U.S. investment bank Lehman Brothers, however, showed that the billion euros was more impenetrable.

VIRTUOUS CIRCLE

But uncertainty over the economic environment and financial markets remain a brake, particularly in terms of IPOs (IPO).

"If the IPO market reopens for sizes and valuations fairly consistent, it is a bit of a virtuous circle for a variety of companies that are still in the portfolios," said Catherine Vincent, Chief Executive within the activity of investment bank Goldman Sachs in Paris.

Analysts said the IPO provided the chain of casinos Lucien Barriere will be a test.

But conversely, the withdrawal of the sale of fast food chain Quick or the retirement homes Medi-Partners also show that investors remain cautious.

"There is a fairly long list of transactions that have no takers, either for reasons of size or profile, for reasons of funding or pending award," notes Céline Méchain, director in charge of relationship with the investment fund at Goldman Sachs.

The continued funding of operations, moreover, remains uncertain because if the banks agreed to finance numerous records at the end of the first semester, they must organize now, that is to say, find investors interested in debt.

This process has also been launched on Monday by the banks in charge of LBO mounted for the redemption of Picard Frozen by Lion Capital.

"We can not consider access to the debt as an asset for the moment," he told Reuters late August Monique Cohen, managing partner of private equity group Apax.

NEW WAVE

The banks also require different ways to structure transactions so as to regain control faster business purchased by the funds in case of restructuring.

Because the crisis has shown the procedure to safeguard French was rather favorable to shareholders and creditors trying to turn faster debt capital.

The news of the capital since the outbreak of the crisis has been marked by restructuring banks that were very expensive to fund and precipitated the departure of certain officers.

In France, corporate restructuring or OMS Monier were characterized by such deadweight losses for the PAI, Sagard and Cognetas.

"We had a first wave of restructuring.By 2011, there could be a second for companies whose underlying economic activity is not to go and who only see their problem of excessive leverage, "says Catherine Vincent.

"2012 will be the first year where we will face a wall of refinancing," explained her side Céline Méchain.

"We'll see how some funds are recovering from their previous failures, particularly in the fundraising going and coming but for now there are many more records in 2009 rollover," said Olivier Tordjman, a lawyer with Ayache Salama.

"And if subjects remain restructuring, there is less risk of 'dead'," he says.

Eiffage yesterday confirmed its forecast of sales for 2010 thanks to the growth of its backlog and achieved a 40% jump in net profit group share biannually.

The eighth group of European construction and concessions generally expected that sales suffer in 2010, and 2009, the reluctance of public procurement, while the branch motorway concessions observes it, a gradual recovery its activity.

"For now, we have been heavily affected by margins than they were at the top of the previous cycle in 2007, but we do not know when they ascend," said CEO Jean-Francois Roverato at a meeting analysts.

He noted that the shift of the French market over the last ten years, to concessions and public-private partnerships (PPP) would generate a "return to better fortune" in some time."The question is when," he added.

Eiffage, best known for the Millau Viaduct and the future stadium of Lille, has achieved a net profit after minority interests of 70 million euros in the first half thanks to the reduced cost of debt.

The operating profit has however declined by 2.6% to 412 million, within the scope of the downturn in work due to a climate of increased competition.

Alongside Eiffage, Bouygues has raised its annual target of revenue, thanks to TF1 and real estate, while still waiting for a 5% decline in construction.

Vinci, the world leader in construction and concessions, has published its interim results next to expectations, particularly thanks to the improvement of traffic conditions.

NEXT ISSUE OF THE OFFER OF WITHDRAWAL ON APRR

Eiffage, owner of motorway networks APRR (Autoroutes Paris-Rhin-Rhone) and Area (Rhone Alps), has already published July 30 in sales for the second quarter, emerged up 2.2% to 3.547 billion euros.

The company said that the outcome of a bid withdrawal filed on APRR Eiffarie early July by the joint venture between the Australian Eiffage and Macquarie would be published on September 24.

The offering will enable Eiffarie hold 100% of APRR and will be accretive to net income of the group in 2010, says Eiffage.

PRPA reported Friday a net profit increase of 16.3% on back of recovery in traffic, especially trucks.

The group is held June 30 to 26.3% by its employees and 20% by the Strategic Investment Fund (ISF), the float is 35.7%

The action Eiffage closed down 1.34% to 35.99 euros on Tuesday, giving a market capitalization of 3.24 billion euros. It has lost 8.5% since the beginning of the year.

The vagaries of the economic recovery and the prospect of new banking regulations temper the optimism of investors after quarterly results exceeded expectations published this week by several major European banks.

Reversals of impairment greater than expected second quarter have offset the slowdown in investment banking, penalized by the threats of contagion of the crisis of the Greek sovereign debt investors who scalded.

Societe Generale has reported a profit of nearly one and half times higher than expected, and Standard Chartered, which operates mainly in Asia, has released a record result.

Lloyds has returned to the green to the first half thanks to a halving of asset impairments.

However, European banks have not divested of their caution, particularly when faced with the consequences of coming prudential reforms.Although the deadlines for application of solvency ratios so-called "Basel III have been repulsed, concerns remain about them.

"There is fragility in the global economy and nervousness in financial markets," said John Peace, Chairman of StanChart, adding that British banks were particularly disadvantaged by the rules on pay, taxation and financial regulation.

Most European banks which have published their results on Wednesday have followed the trend shown Monday by BNP Paribas and HSBC with a lower level of bad debts.

However, even if SocGen gained 0.6% at the Paris Stock Exchange in the afternoon, StanChart lost 6.3% to the London Stock Exchange.

The quarterly results and the prudence of banks are an excuse for profit taking while the lure investors to the sector had been increased by the publication, July 23, heartening results of resistance tests suffered by banks in the European Union.

The European banking stocks index yielded 1.2% on Wednesday afternoon, after having won over 20% since early July against 10% for pan-European Stoxx 600 index – and nearly 9% since the release of stress tests .

"The results show that emerging markets like China, India and Brazil are areas where we can go to generate meaningful activities," said Ted Huang, a fund manager Pinebridge Asia High Yield in the results of StanChart.

Against the trend, the German Postbank increased its provisions for impairment related to risky real estate loans and has revised downwards its objectives.

Allied Irish Banks The Irish, partly nationalized, has also reported a doubling of losses in the first half while making clear progress towards its recapitalization.

These two facilities join the Italian UniCredit, the first credit agency in Central and Eastern Europe, which was published on Tuesday a quarterly profit well below consensus, hit by a dramatic drop in trading revenue.

PSA Peugeot Citroen, after a first half marked by continued strong sales, think back to a positive operating profit this year despite the difficult months ahead in Europe.

The second European car maker said Wednesday it expected 2010 profit from recurring operations of about 1.5 billion euros after a loss of 689 million in 2009 due wholly to the crisis that hit the area the first half of last year.

"The economic environment has had a significant positive impact in the first half (…) Clearly, this will be less favorable economic environment and will have a negative impact in the second half," warned Philippe Varin, CEO of PSA during a press conference.

PSA Action opened up 1.3% at 25.20 euros on the Paris Bourse, before turning around. At 10:10, the title abandoned 3.32% to 24.05 euros.

"The results are solid and forecasts may reassure, but we wonder if the stock market will not suffer in the second half of the relapse of volumes expected in the automotive business in Europe," wrote analysts at Barclays Capital in a Note."We remain very cautious on the outlook for next 18 months."

PSA has resumed on the first six months of the year with profit from operations, stood at 1.137 million euros after a loss of 826 million a year earlier, with a net profit of 680 million against a loss of 962 million a year earlier.

The first half was also supported by the performance plan unveiled by the group last fall.This plan, which includes cost reductions and income gains, has contributed 854 million euros in operating profit.

Philippe Varin has not ruled out that the goal of contributing 1.1 billion euros to the result of the plan is passed this year.

FOCUS ON INTERNATIONAL

The group's turnover rose by 20.8% to 28.39 billion in the first half, still supported by subsidies still in force and by the success of several new models like the Peugeot 3008 and the crossover sedan DS3 Citroen, which allow PSA to increase its market share in Europe to 14.5% against 13.7% a year earlier.

Registrations of new cars by the first French sales rose 5.5% in the first six months of the year but fell 5.6% on the month of June with the shortness of the effect "scrappage".This was further reduced to 1 July, 500 euros against 700 euros in the first half and 1,000 euros for the whole of 2009.

The loss of aid will be added to the fact that the second half is usually less active than the first for the automotive sector sales, and that the surge in demand in late 2009 with the bonus of 1,000 euros a comparison very unfavorable product from one year to another.

Despite this, the division should be close to self-balance for the second part of the year.

SAP anticipates a decline of 7% of car market in Europe in 2010, slightly less than what he foresaw far.He put forward the emerging countries to find new sources of growth, as China is now its second largest market after France and that it provides a double-digit growth in 2010, and as Latin America where it sees growth significant figure.

To expand its presence in the Chinese market, the group relies on its new joint venture with Chang'An second PSA JV in China, which it expects to receive regulatory approval in early 2011.

The manufacturer hopes to make half of its vehicle sales in markets outside Europe by 2015, against 34% in 2009. The 508 is as such a symbol of the internationalization of PSA.New large sedan planned for 2011, it will be produced in Rennes (Ille-et-Vilaine), but also in China six months later. For the first time, a model for European motorists since its conception has incorporated expectations of Chinese customers.

BP confirmed the upcoming resignation of its CEO, Tony Hayward, widely criticized for his handling of the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico and its replacement by the American Robert Dudley.

This announcement coincides with a special charge of $ 32.2 billion (24.8 billion euros) related to the oil spill, which plunges the accounts of the British group into the red to the tune of 16.97 billion only for the quarter April-June.

"The tragedy of the explosion and damage wells Macondo environments that ensued marked a turning point," said the group's president, Carl-Henric Svanberg after announcing the departure of Tony Hayward.

"BP is a strong company but will now be (…) a different company."

Robert Dudley, 54, currently in charge of the group's activities in the U.S., oversees efforts to contain the oil spill, considered the worst in the history of the United States, which pollutes the region since the collapse of the Deepwater Horizon platform April 20.

He will be based in London after taking office and will sell the direction of the American branch in Lamar McKey, the company said.

Tony Hayward to take its share towards the non-executive of TNK-BP, BP's joint venture in Russia.He will receive compensation equivalent to one year's salary, or 1,045,000 pounds (1,250,000 euros).

Hayward had angered the U.S. administration for having complained of being overstretched since the beginning of the disaster and for having, during his congressional testimony, tried to dodge responsibility for his group.

Excluding costs related to oil spills and other non-operating expenses, BP poster for the second quarter adjusted earnings of the replacement cost of 4.98 billion dollars, in accordance with Reuters based on estimates of 11 analysts.

Adjusted earnings replacement cost excludes gains or losses related to changes in valuation reserves of fuel and is comparable to net income.

In a separate announcement, BP said its asset sales could reach a total of 30 billion dollars over the next 18 months, which could allow it to reduce its debt by between 10 and 15 billion dollars.

The group said it will review its dividend policy once established results for the fourth quarter.

The corporate failures have continued to decline in France in June to register down 7.9% on the entire second quarter compared to the same three months of 2009, according to data published on the news website score3.fr business.

The Observatory for the failures identified score3.fr 13,189 openings procedures from April to June against 14,326 a year earlier, a decrease of 7.9% followed a modest decline of 1.8% in first quarter .

On June alone, the failures are the number of 4677, a figure higher than in May (4310), but down 7.2% compared to 5039 cases in June 2009.

"The improvement is particularly noticeable in the areas most affected by the crisis, namely real estate (-30.4%), manufacturing (-21.2%) or construction (-10.9 %), "said Score3.fr, which belongs to the group of business services Pouey International.

Agriculture and fishing have also seen their bankruptcies decline sharply compared to June 2009 (-44%) but some areas remain, however, the sentence, like business services and administrative support (14.4% ), accommodation and food (+3.2%), or transport failures which rose 1.4% compared to June 2009.

After several positive months, financial and insurance for their part, experienced strong growth in their failures (6%) in June a year ago. Developments in this sector, however, positive throughout the quarter with an average decline of 3.2% of failures from April to June 2009.

The detailed figures are available on the website www.score3.fr.

The American group of consumer products Procter & Gamble has decided to suspend television advertising campaign for its Pringles brand potato chips with French footballer Nicolas Anelka, "he said Monday in a statement.

"Following recent events and to ensure that this film is misunderstood by the public, the Pringles brand has decided to suspend its television advertising campaign," the statement said.

"This is indeed focused on the festive side of football and is no longer relevant given the circumstances," he added.

Nicolas Anelka has been returned Saturday from the France team after, according to the press, insulted the coach Raymond Domenech and refused to apologize publicly.In protest, the players refused to train for the match on Tuesday against South Africa, decisive for the Blues.

The sign of restoration Quick was the first Saturday remove advertisements containing the Chelsea player.