Spain stuck between recession and banking crisis
Financing costs to be borne by Spain grew strongly at an auction took place Thursday, a day also marked by the confirmation that the country fell into recession and an article by press reports of massive withdrawals of deposits from the fourth Spanish bank.
The Spanish Treasury had to agree to pay a return of around 5% and invest in bonds and three to four years, including an average yield of 5.106% for a security maturing in April 2016 against 3.374% in the last similar operation in March.
"This unfavorable trend seems well established. Ultimately, this increase in performance may lead to a form of intervention outside, "said Richard McGuire, an analyst at Rabobank rate
. Wednesday
, Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy said that the government may soon find it difficult to fund at acceptable levels …… On
… the secondary market, the yield on ten-year Spanish bonds is around 6.3%, far off the level of 7% who die gered the aid given to Greece, Ireland and Portugal.
Madrid, however, can take advantage of a rare good news reached the end of the day: the agreement reached with Catalonia, a region that weighs up to 20% of gross domestic product ( GDP) Spanish, a reduction in public spending.
In addition to the current difficulties of the banks, debt regions is considered another major risk factor for Spain, some already see as the next victims of the crisis debt in the euro area.
Last week, the European Commission considered that this debt would be one of the regions of the reasons that would prevent Spain to meet its budget deficit target set for 2012, which is 5.3% of GDP.
FALLING ACTION Bankia
Earlier in the day, the Spanish government had to disprove the existence of a movement of panic withdrawals from money deposited in the bank in difficulty Bankia, nationalized the week last, the title lost up to 30% following information along these lines.
"It is not true that there is now an exit monitoring Bankia chests," said Fernando Jimenez Latorre, Secretary of Economy, during a press conference.
For its part, in a notice sent to the Spanish stock exchange authorities, Bankia emphasizes that movements of deposits recorded during the first half of May were seasonal, adding no substantial change in the balance of deposits was not expected in the coming days.
The title Bankia finally ended down 14.08% to 1.422 euro after falling to 1.171 euro in session. The index grouping the European banking stocks yielded 2.36% on its side.
Last week, Spain took control of Bankia, the fourth largest bank, hoping to reassure the markets and stabilize a weak financial sector made by the housing crisis.
In the wake of the nationalization, Madrid has imposed on its banks to increase their reserves to protect themselves from mounting losses on their toxic loans in real estate, while pledging to make a limited assistance to troubled institutions through loans at high rates.
These measures, however, did not help to dispel investors' doubts about the ability of the Spanish government finally repair the financial system of the country, questions that have aggravated the back of concerns about ; the debt crisis of the euro area, heightened by the political stalemate in Greece.
According to El Mundo, Bankia clients withdrew a few days over one billion euros from their accounts. José Ignacio Goirigolzarri informed the Board of Directors met on Wednesday the funds are withdrawn, the newspaper said.
RECESSION THAT WILL EXTEND
The first quarter of 2012 resulted in a further economic contraction of 0.3%, which, after a decline of similar magnitude to the previous quarter, is officially back in Spain recession, which is technically defined as two consecutive quarters of falling GDP.
"The recession is advancing at a gradual pace, but if we take into account the latest surveys on activity, it seems that the economic contraction will continue into quarters come, "said Tullia Bucco, an economist at UniCredit.
The Spanish manufacturing sector contracted at its fastest pace in almost three years in April, while the service industry fell for the tenth month of row, according to the purchasing managers' index.
The export sector, the only one that has progressed over the last two quarters, slowed from January to March, the main economic partners of Spain is also experiencing the recession or slowdown.
Although Spain was able to master its accounts, the country is at the forefront if ever Greece, currently in a political impasse, should leave the euro.
"It's not totally Greece leaving the euro, which is the main issue is the domino effect," said John Bearman, Investment Officer at Thomas Miller Investment.
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