International Business News

Swatch Group posted double-digit growth in sales early this year, despite a deceleration of the very high end in China, said Thursday its director gen ; neral.

Nick Hayek, however, continues to focus on growth of 5% to 10% for the watch industry in 2012, believing that Swatch should continue to outpace the market.

"In January and February, we again had a Swatch Group at double-digit growth, but I'll be careful not to extrapolate the first two months for the entire year," Has he said at a news conference in Geneva. 

Nick Hayek, however, expects that sales growth remains strong in all regions and all segments despite a high comparison base.

Swiss watch exports reached a record in 2011 with the Asian consumer craze for watches, exceeding for the first time the bar of 19 billion francs.

The professionals, however, predict a slowdown this year, a new double-digit increase is difficult to achieve at a time when the watch face significant bottlenecks throttle at the production apparatus. 

In a recent interview with the weekly Der Sonntag, Nick Hayek, however, indicated that Swatch Group expected a figure of 8 billion francs in 2012, after posting sales of more than seven billion a year last.

The CEO of Swatch Group, however, acknowledged Thursday that the pace of sales growth in the segments of the highest range had been decelerating.

"In China, it is true that there is a slowdown on the very high end," he said, stressing however that the application had progressed so rapidly year past that the group would not have been able to track the level of production. 

"The demand is (now) than in the region of 15% to 20% and we still can not meet this demand still high," he added .

According to statistics from the Federation watch, Swiss watch exports rose 33.2% in Hong Kong and 32.2% in China in January, after surging more than 70% some months.

Nick Hayek, however, expects that the slowdown in the luxury watches is largely offset by higher volumes in other price ranges, considering that the Chinese consumer enthusiasm for Swiss watches continues unabated.

"The consumption of brands like Longines, Tissot and Swatch, and even higher in Omega segments have increased dramatically. There may be a shift to the segments of entry to mid range, "he said

. Swatch Group, the first Swiss watch manufacturer, is present in all price ranges through a portfolio of brands ranging from Swatch watches multicolored plastic whose prices start at 50 francs, up to premium brands such Breguet, which can be sold beyond a million francs

. At 16:00 GMT, had erased its gains and yielded 0.5% to 408 francs, while the European index values ​​are discretionary appreciation of 1%

.

Between 200 and 300 steelworkers at ArcelorMittal Florange were installed at the outlet from which the finished products of the factory. At the same time opens in La Plaine-Saint-Denis, the French headquarters of ArcelorMittal, a central works council on the future of the site. The ArcelorMittal steel plant in Moselle Florange

Between 200 and 300 steelworkers ArcelorMittal plant Florange (Moselle) Thursday blocked the release of shipments of the site to try to get the direction of restarting blast furnaces shut down since October, said a journalist of AFP. The protesters were installed at the outlet from which the finished products factory, mainly sheet metal coils for the automotive industry. Unions fear the "programmed death" of this site, which employs 5,000 employees, after the announcement of management, last week, the blast furnaces would restart not only in the second quarter. The No. 1 global steel industry maintains that it is just a temporary standby necessary due to insufficient demand.

"We decided to hit Mittal where it hurts: the wallet," the official said CFDT Edward Martin, announcing "a block of unlimited duration." "We will build a war chest, loot the fruit of our labor," he said. At the same time opened in La Plaine-Saint-Denis, the French headquarters of ArcelorMittal, a central works council on the future of Florange site. While its two blast furnaces are dormant for several months, the hot rolling mill train Florange always produces some 200,000 tonnes per month of steel for automotive technology. The site is stocked with steel slabs produced by the ArcelorMittal plant in Dunkirk.  

With this deadlock, the union hopes disrupt production in the automotive industry, has seen one of them, "just-works". ArcelorMittal Florange delivers its finished products manufacturers Peugeot, Volkswagen, Mercedes, Audi and Toyota. This action "punch" is the first conducted by the Inter CGT / CFDT / FO / CFE-CGC, after the occupation of management Monday. The Inter promised she would be "the nightmare of government," until May 6, when the second round of the presidential election. ArcelorMittal has recently decided the final closure of blast furnaces in Liege (Belgium) and Madrid, the other (two in Florange, Lorraine, one in Germany, two in Poland, two in Romania and Czech Republic) were officially launched pending before the upturn in orders.

On Tuesday, President-candidate Nicolas Sarkozy said: "We will make sure that (the Florange) reopens." FO federation of metallurgy has arrested Wednesday group management and government, demanding written commitments on the future of the plant Moselle.

France Telecom has hardened its dividend policy and its promise of deferred stock repurchases facing a price war triggered by the new entrant Free Mobile on the French market mobile telephony.

The incumbent, who on Wednesday released 2011 results consistent with its objectives, expected this year to give priority to the preservation of its balance sheet in a context of de gradation-than-expected economic conditions.

"2012 is the most difficult year for us," said Chief Financial Officer Gervais Pellissier during a conference call, considering that the group could reach a low point this year e before a possible rebound in 2013. 

"We do not imagine that the price war is very long in France. We started at a price level which is extremely low, "he said

. Free has an entry burst onto the market of mobile phones last month with two offers at bargain prices, forcing its competitors in place to review the rates down a portion of their offerings in an attempt to prevent ; expensive an exodus of their subscribers

. While the group led by Xavier Niel has not yet provided the number of subscriber s, France Telecom said on the other hand have lost 201,000 mobile customers from the beginning of the year and February 15, which represents approximately 0.7% of its fleet of 27 million customers in France

. Requests for subscribers seeking portability to switch operators while keeping their digital ; ro peaked at 150.000 requests per day within two days following the launch of Free Mobile, France Telecom said in a statement, adding that this figure has since been divided by ten.

NET CASH FLOW BACK TO THE 2012

In this context of increased competition in France, which still accounts for half of sales in Orange and more than 50% of its total EBITDA, France Telecom expects a significant decline in its operating cash flow expected to 8 billion euros for 2012, against 9.33 billion last year.

Sensed as a part of investors, the group announced an adjustment to its dividend policy.

The group now plans to pay under the 2012 and 2013 earnings to shareholders between 40% and 45% of operating cash flow for the year. 

The dividend should therefore be between 1.21 and 1.35 euros per share for 2012, instead of 1.40 euros previously promised by the group, Gervais Pellissier said.

Also in order to preserve its financial strength, France Telecom has also decided to postpone the redemption of shares, a time considered in the wake of the sale of the group's subsidiary in Switzerland for $ 1.5 billion.

"We believe that the financial circumstances of early 2012 did not allow to continue in that direction today," said Gervais Pellissier.

"It does not mean that there will be no buyback at France Telecom Orange but not in 2012," he added. 

EUROPEAN OPERATORS UNDER PRESSURE

These prudent measures reflect the challenges facing European telcos to continue to grow in an environment of increased regulatory and competitive pressures.

Telefonica has lowered its target for the December dividend it will pay under 2012 in order to control its debt in a context of sluggish economic growth in Spain.

Analysts said France Telecom could have even less hesitation than the dividend, far more generous, offered by the group did not result in a brilliant performance of its stock price in 2010 and 2011. 

"There is no doubt that the group saw little point in paying a dividend for which it has received little or no credit," say analysts at Bernstein Research in a note .

At 10:20, as the advance of 1.53% to 11.62 euros. Since the beginning of the year, it posted a drop of 4.0% compared with a decline of 0.85% of the telecoms sector index.

The full year 2011, the Group generated a turnover of 45.28 billion euros, against 45.27 billion expected on average according to Thomson Reuters I / B / E / S.

The adjusted EBITDA was $ 15.083 billion, giving a margin of 33.3%, limited decline of 1.1 points, thanks in particular to the resistance displayed by activities in France, despite already increased pressure on prices, most operators have anticipated since last year the arrival of Free. 

The group has seen its share of conquest in broadband up to 30.5% in 2011 thanks to the success of its offers "quad play" Open totaling 1.2 million customers in late last year.

A Greek on the bankruptcy of the two countries would prefer to austerity. A fault on the entire Greek debt may however have dramatic consequences for the population. Unless you are organized within the framework of European solidarity. A poster of German Chancellor Angela Merkel and the IMF director Christine Lagarde pinned to the Greek Parliament during a protest against austerity in Athens, February 12, 2012.

According to the government, the Greek parliament chose Sunday to accept the austerity imposed by its creditors in order to avoid bankruptcy and stay in the euro area, after a parliamentary vote in favor of a draconian austerity program. The vote Monday was hailed by EU leaders. European Commissioner for Economic Affairs Olli Rehn, this is "a crucial advance". "We expressly welcome" the vote "demonstrates the willingness of Greece to undertake difficult reforms," ​​responded his side the German chancellery. Markets also liked. The main European stock markets ended higher Monday moderate – Paris gained 0.34%, 0.68% Frankfurt and London 0.91%.

The relief of markets and European partners in contrast to the violence of the demonstrations that greeted the vote in Greece's plan. Neoclassical buildings ravaged by fire, windows broken: according to official counts, 45 buildings were totally or partially damaged on the night of Sunday to Monday. The Ministry of Health has reported 54 people injured and 68 police wounded in its ranks. The law passed by the House includes indeed Greek for a particularly painful for the population (further cuts in wages and pensions and a new wave of job cuts in the public service) to save 3.3 billion euros in 2012 .

This vote is a first step towards providing loans of 130 billion euros and deletion of part of the country's debt. It avoids bankruptcy which threatened the country while Greece has to repay 14.5 billion euros of debt in March. But it does not solve fundamental problems affecting the Greek economy. The country is moving toward a slow disintegration. In January, the expected tax receipts fell by 7% when they were to increase by 9% according to government forecasts. "Greece is the perfect illustration of the adage" too much tax kills tax "[the Laffer curve, note], believes Jesus Castillo, an economist at Natixis.  

Social explosion

For two years, the Greeks are subjected to a drastic course of rigor, consisting primarily of tax increases and lower salaries. Result: the economy atrophies at high speed, she should know in 2012 a fourth consecutive year of recession. The Greek population is impoverished – their standard of living has fallen 50% in two years – and unemployment is over 20%. Above all, they see no crisis: austerity accentuating the recession, the deficit reduction targets are not met and the government is obliged to take further fiscal savings.

Today, Greeks are tired. A poll conducted these days by the institute and published by the RASS news247.gr site notes that 48% of Greeks prefer bankruptcy to austerity against only 38% who agree to pay for the rescue of their country. For Thibault Mercier, economist at BNP Paribas, "bankruptcy of Greece would be terrible for the country is better austerity, admittedly painful, and the pursuit of fiscal adjustment in return for funding from the EU and the IMF." Who says bankruptcy, said failure on the entire government debt. In doing so, the country would no longer have to pay interest charges and his government deficit would be lowered by 6 points.

But there would still be three point deficit to finance (6 billion). A default would result in further losses for banks Greek equivalent to 200% of their equity. In other words, they would go bankrupt and would need to be recapitalized to the tune of 60 billion euros. But Mercier said Thibault, "nobody wants to lend money to Greece, nor Europe, let alone the markets." The only solution for the country would be to leave the euro area, restore the drachma, to devalue sharply and to print more money to finance the government and banks. With consequent high inflation and a dramatic decline in the purchasing power of households – Greece imports more than it exports.

Organize bankruptcy

Should we then continue on its current path, that is to say, lending money to Greece in return for ever more severe austerity? "No, because Greece is insolvent and lend him more money is useless," said Jesus Castillo. It would take a reduction of 110 percentage points of GDP of the entire public debt of the country to restore its fiscal solvency, against 40 points for entering planned in the European rescue plan. It would also reduce by 25% for rebalancing demand within the trade balance. It's impossible.  

"A cancellation of almost all Greek debt, the equivalent of bankruptcy, is the only solution, says economist of Natixis. But it must be done in a cooperative situation at European level." In other words, the country would remain in the euro area and its partners would lend him enough to recapitalize its banks and invest in its economy to restore its competitiveness and, ultimately, permanent improvement of its growth. The default solution is a political choice that European leaders do not seem to be willing to do. Because it could set a precedent and lead to a contagion effect to other countries in the euro area. Otherwise, it is feared that the Greek crisis continues much longer do.

Rexel said Friday propose a dividend increase of 62.5% to € 0.65 per share for its fiscal 2011, the group that last year's record profitability including a 39% growth in net profit to 319 million euros.

In the current context of uncertainty, Rexel said he was confident of its ability to continue to generate organic growth in 2012 of its sales outside "copper effect" than the weighted average growth e of the GNP of the countries where the Group operates. 

"In this context, Rexel is also expected in 2012: to maintain a margin EBITA (earnings before tax, interest and depreciation) to a level at least equal to 5.7% achieved in 2011, generating a free cash flow before interest and taxes of around 600 million euros ", the group announced in a statement.

The EBITA margin rose 70 basis points last year, a figure better than expected since November, Rexel had repeated expect for 2011 an increase of at least 50 basis points of its EBITA margin in constant and adjusted. 

"In 2011, Rexel achieved very good performance: organic growth was strong, profitability reached a record high and we strengthened our presence in markets emerging while continuing deleveraging of the company, "said in a statement Jean-Charles Pauze, CEO of Rexel.

At the end of 2011, net debt of the company was reduced from 195.1 million euros and amounted to 2.078 billion euros, reducing its debt ratio on EBITDA (earnings before tax, interest, depreciation and amortization) of 3.19 to 2.4. 

The turnover of Rexel emerged up 6.3% to 12.717 billion euros, driven by strong growth of 7.4% of its business in North America while in Europe activity of the company rose 4.5%.

In an interview with Reuters, Jean-Charles Pauze, which will be replaced as head of the group by Rudy Provoost, had said in early January that Rexel was on track to double its sales business in emerging markets between 2010 and 2013, particularly through external growth.

The title, which lost 0.46% Thursday to 15.25 euros, has gained 15.5% since the beginning of the year, enabling the group to exceed four billion euro market capitalization.

Manitou in the first half is expected to reach its growth target of 15% of sales through an order book expanded, says CEO of the group specializes in forklift elements observers, although it remains cautious about the second half.

The group, which designs equipment for the industries of construction, agriculture and industry, had said in October that it expected growth in sales between 10% and 15% of the whole year.

"For the first half, I think 15% is almost acquired since, again, it is largely conditioned by the order book we have today in the hands," said Jean- Christophe Giroux, in an interview with Reuters. 

"The real question is what will happen in the second half and if the activity will slow or not by then," he added. "We can say that it will or may slow down if for example there was a real credit crunch."

Jean-Christophe Giroux has also confirmed its target of achieving a double digit operating margin in 2014-2015, a period when the turnover is expected to reach one billion from 1.6 to 1.7 euros, against 1.1 billion last year.

Manitou, which is to rival the French and American Haulotte Caterpillar, said in January this year wish to review in depth the organization to improve operational flexibility.

"We feel that we simply are not effective or efficient in our own industrial or operational management," commented Jean-Christophe Giroux. 

According Manitou, farming should improve and could become the fastest growing market this year, generating 45% of turnover, while the construction is affected by the uncertain economic environment in Europe.

"The construction remains depressed in many countries, there is almost no activity in Spain or Portugal, or even in Italy," said Group CEO.

The title Manitou increased 50% since the beginning of the year, bringing its market capitalization to around 700 million euros.

Sanofi announced Wednesday a rise in earnings in the fourth quarter of 2011, helped by the consolidation of Genzyme, reducing its costs and its strong performance in emerging markets and diabetes ; you.

However, affected by the loss of its patents of some of its major drugs including the anticoagulant Plavix, the group confirms that it expects a decline in earnings per share 12% to 15% at constant currency in 2012, an objective in line with its medium term plan. 

In a conference call with reporters, the CEO of Sanofi Chris Viehbacher stressed, however, "that beyond the last brevetaires expirations of certain products in 2012, the strong performance of growth platforms, reduced exposure to future losses patents and progress in R & D position (Sanofi) for a period of sustainable growth ".

As expected, the loss of patent for Plavix and Avapro in the United States should reduce the net income from about 1.4 billion euros in 2012. 

In addition, the American justice confirmed Tuesday the authorization to market a generic version of Lovenox anticoagulant, denying the accused the French laboratory that re U.S. FDA regulator for not having followed the procedures.

Lovenox was one of the top-selling medicines by Sanofi, with sales of close to four billion dollars a year, before the arrival on the market a generic version ; summer 2010.

Meanwhile, Sanofi and its U.S. partner Bristol-Myers Squibb announced that Apotex had paid them 442.2 million worth of damages to which she had e ; tee convicted in the trial for patent infringement of Plavix. 

DIVIDEND TO 2.65 EUROS PER SHARE

Sanofi also announced that improving the production of Genzyme was "well underway" following approval by the U.S. and European health authorities at the new , Framingham, Massachusetts.

The company said that its U.S. subsidiary continues to hope for an improvement of their supplies of Cerezyme (Gaucher disease) as of this month and that globally, the return Total to normal production levels of Fabrazyme (Fabry disease) begin in the second quarter.

Fabrazyme and Cerezyme generated more than $ 1.7 billion in revenue in 2008, before their sales collapse by 29% in 2009 and another 25% the year following a failure in industrial. It is in this context that Sanofi Genzyme acquired in spring 2011 to more than $ 20 billion.

Oddo Securities analyst Jean-Jacques Le Fur said that "the results and predictions of Sanofi are in line with expectations. This means that the group holds out its roadmap and this bodes well for the future "

. the fourth quarter 2011, Sales of Sanofi rose 8.8% (+9.2% at constant exchange rates) to 8.508 million euros (8,535.6 million consensus), operating profit by 11.3% to 2.828 million (consensus 2931.5 million) and net profit by 13% to 2.077 million (consensus 2071.7 million) or 1.56 euro per share (1.55 euro) ..

……. Sales Genzyme, consolidated as of 1 April 2011, rose 7.7% to 2.395 million euros … Under

…… fiscal 2011, Sanofi proposes a dividend of 2.65 euros per share, against 2.50 euros in 2010 ….. ….

On the eve of the 51th Paris Boat Show, the uncertainty is set at the manufacturers of pleasure boats in 2012, the sovereign debt crisis with little visibility, while the water sports market has improved slightly in 2010 / 2011.

French production increased 11% between September 2010 and August 2011, compared to the same period in 2009/2010, while the world market has increased slightly from 0% to 3%, said the Federation of Nautical Industries ( FIN).

"We are in a somewhat unique because our customers are there, the practice is growing, but at the same time we are in a period when accumulated outside the marine industry factors of concern," said Yves Lyon Caen, Vice President and President of the END of the supervisory board of Beneteau.

"The day there will be a release of the brakes, mainly psychological, the industry will rebound very important," he pointed out, however.

The rate of exports is 67% in 2010/2011, against 63.2% a year earlier.

The European Central Bank is considering to extend the maturity of its loans to banks in two or even three years, wanting to prevent the crisis in the euro area does not cause a "credit crunch" that would stifle the economy, we learn of sources familiar with the matter.

The ECB considers this unprecedented opportunity, while growing fears of an explosion in the euro area affect the interbank market, banks tend to reduce the number of establishments to which they lend.

For now, the maximum maturity of liquidity operations of the ECB is one year.A bank to finance two or three years from the ECB, it could be misinterpreted. "

Another source said that the ECB was considering the possibility of providing liquidity to maturity in the same vein through several short-term loans, pledging to keep such a line of credit for a period up to three years.

In June 2009 the ECB has proposed for the first time refinancing operations to one year. She repeated this year with a LTRO to 12 months in October and 13 months in December.

"Line of precaution and Liquidity" provides a credit of the member states to meet their emergency needs. This is one of the G20 commitments in Cannes.

The International Monetary Fund announced Tuesday, November 22 creating a new lending instrument to "break the chains of contagion" of financial and economic crises. The institution said in a statement that its board had given its green light to the "Line of precaution and liquidity" (LPL), which had been promised by the G20 at its summit in Cannes (South East of France) earlier this month. The TPA provides a credit of the member states to meet their emergency needs.It "can be used as a source of liquidity, allowing an agreement six months to meet the needs of short-term balance of payments," said the IMF.

This device replaces another established in August 2010, the precautionary credit line, which has a single member state, Macedonia. The difference is that the old line of credit was designed to be held in reserve, while the news is expected to eventually be used immediately. Countries that are eligible are the same: those with a crisis, and have sound economic policies and undertake to maintain. Executive Director of the IMF, Christine Lagarde, had said at the summit in Cannes that Italy could meet these criteria. To support this country, "the typical instrument we would use is a precautionary credit line.